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2018-07-27 09:24:50
Half of U.S. homes are now more valuable than before the real-estate bubble burst

Half of U.S. homes are now more valuable than before the real-estate bubble burst

Published: July 27, 2018 1:24 a.m. ET/ Marketwatch.com


The median home value has risen more than 8% over the past year.

Nearly all homes in Denver are now worth more than they were before the financial crisis.

There’s a split emerging in the U.S. housing market: Some are becoming more valuable than ever, while others struggle to emerge from the financial crisis.

More than half of the homes nationwide are now more valuable than their pre-recession peaks, according a report released Thursday by real-estate website Zillow ZG, -7.50% The national median home value is now $217,300, an increase of 8.3% on the year and 8.4% above the bubble-era peak. In 21 of the nation’s 35 largest markets, the median home value is now at an all-time high.

Driving much of the home value appreciation nationwide is a reduction in the number of homes available on the market. Inventory contracted 4.8% over the past year. Indeed, the tight supply of homes for sale has contributed to what some have called the most competitive home buying season on record.

Some markets have rebounded faster than others post-recession. In seven of the country’s largest housing markets — Dallas-Ft. Worth, Seattle, Denver, San Antonio, San Jose, Austin and Portland, Ore. — more than 95% of homes are worth more than the pre-housing boom peak.

Denver has experienced a particularly notable rebound: The median value is now $397,700, or 65.5% higher than its previous peak in 2006, and more than 99% of homes are more valuable than they were in the bubble years.

Metropolitan area Share of homes worth more than pre-recession peak Median home value (June 2018) Year-over-year change in home value
United States 50.4% $217,300 8.3%
New York, N.Y. 28.5% $429,300 6.7%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif. 64.4% $646,300 7.6%
Chicago, Ill. 14.6% $220,400 5.8%
Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas 97.7% $229,400 11.6%
Philadelphia, Pa. 35.9% $228,100 5.9%
Houston, Texas 97% $198,600 5.8%
Washington, D.C. 22.1% $399,500 4.2%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, Fla. 9.6% $272,900 7.7%
Atlanta, Ga. 64.3% $204,600 11.6%
Boston, Mass. 83% $455,600 7.2%
San Francisco, Calif. 85.8% $953,600 11%
Detroit, Mich. 32.5% $154,900 9.7%
Riverside, Calif. 6.5% $356,800 7.4%
Phoenix, Ariz. 12.5% $254,700 8%
Seattle, Wash. 97.3% $492,700 11.4%
Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn. 61.3% $261,300 7.6%
San Diego, Calif. 63.4% $583,700 6.6%
St. Louis, Mo. 51.3% $161,400 5.5%
Tampa, Fla. 18.9% $204,600 10.9%
Baltimore, Md. 8.7% $264,800 5%
Denver, Colo. 99.6% $397,700 7.4%
Pittsburgh, Pa. 87.8% $141,300 7.9%
Portland, Ore. 94.8% $391,200 5.9%
Charlotte, N.C. 88.2% $195,800 11%
Sacramento, Calif. 19.8% $400,100 6.4%
San Antonio, Texas 98.8% $185,000 5.6%
Orlando, Fla. 5.4% $226,900 9.7%
Cincinnati, Ohio 63.9% $160,900 6.6%
Cleveland, Ohio 31.2% $141,100 7.1%
Kansas City, Mo. 71.6% $181,400 9.2%
Las Vegas, Nev. 0.8% $264,300 15%
Columbus, Ohio 83.6% $182,200 9.1%
Indianapolis, Ind. 68% $152,800 8.5%
San Jose, Calif. 98.7% $1,287,600 27.2%
Austin, Texas 98.7% $296,500 5.7%

But almost the opposite is happening in Las Vegas, where less than 1% of homes are worth more than their pre-recession peak. “Despite widespread and consistent home value growth today, the scars of the recession still run deep for millions of longer-term U.S. homeowners, and it may take years of growth for their home to regain the value lost a decade ago,” Zillow senior economist, Aaron Terrazas, wrote in the report.

Meanwhile, renters are faring somewhat better these days, according to Zillow. The median rent nationwide only increased 1.3% over the past year to $1,440, marking the second straight month in which rent appreciation has fallen below the overall rate of inflation.

For those renters who are looking to buy homes in the near future, that’s certainly welcome news, as it can now take years to save up enough for a down payment thanks to the breakneck pace of home price appreciation.

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